Commercial

‘Affordable’ Housing Less Attractive Now

Affordable housing projects all over the country have been a tough sell the last couple of years. Some of the reasons include hard-to-get mortgages and a dwindling difference in prices between affordable units and market-rate properties with no restrictions on resale.

The problem is particularly acute in Far Rockaway, N.Y., where New York City housing officials and developers are frustrated by slow sales of existing units, which prevents the remainder of the project from being built.

City-subsidized housing in Far Rockaway and in various other parts of the city selling for $250,000 to $350,000 is sitting on the market for as long as 18 months, even though prices have been cut as much as 30 percent.

City Housing commissioner Rafael E. Cestero said when the projects were planned, these units ”were deeply affordable” compared with what was then on the market. ”We had no idea what was going to happen,” he said.

Source: The New York Times, Cara Buckley (02/19/2010)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
(404) 431-2117
Web: www.elliottyouragent.com
Blog – www.elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

Commercial Loans Jeopardize Banks

The Congressional Oversight Panel reported Wednesday that commercial real estate loan failures could jeopardize bank stability.

The panel said most of the bad loans were made at the height of the real estate bubble and are concentrated at smaller banks, which make 40 percent of all small business loans.

“We haven’t seen the worst of the problems yet in terms of loan defaults. This is a large issue for a major portion of the banks out there,” said Matthew Anderson, a partner at research firm Foresight Analytics, which provided data for the report.

Source: MarketWatch, Josh Lipton (02/17/2010)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
(404) 431-2117
Web: www.elliottyouragent.com
Blog – www.elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

Banks Teeter as Commercial RE Struggles

Commercial real estate prices rose 1 percent in November. That’s the first increase in more than a year, according to Moody’s/ReAL Commercial Property Price Indices.

But it’s too soon to say the sector is stabilizing. Moody’s analyst Connie Petruzziello predicts that occupancy and rental rates will fall in the first half of 2010, pushing prices downward as well. She expects prices to decline as much as 45 percent to 55 percent from their peak in 2007 before they begin to recover later this year.

The woes of the commercial real estate market are likely to cause more banks to fail in 2010, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Chair Sheila Bair said in a speech to the Commercial Mortgage Securities Association.

Bair said regulators predict higher delinquencies and charge offs for commercial real estate properties in the first three months of this year. “Commercial real estate credit problems are affecting large and small banks alike,” Bair said.

Source: Reuters News, Ilaina Jonas (01/20/2010) and The Wall Street Journal, Michael R. Crittenden (01/20/2010)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
(404) 431-2117
Web: www.elliottyouragent.com
Blog – www.elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

MIT Index Says Commercial Prices On the Rise

Prices of commercial real estate in which there are large numbers of major investors rose 4.4 percent in the third quarter, according to the MIT Center for Real Estate’s transaction-based index.

This is the first increase in more than a year and the largest since the market slowed in mid-2007. Observers see this as a harbinger of better times in the troubled commercial space.

“One quarter does not a trend make and we are still well below normal trading volume,” David Geltner, director of research at MIT/CRE, said in a statement. “Nevertheless, this is the strongest sign of a bottom that we’ve had in two years.”

Source: Reuters News, Ilaina Jonas (10/3/2009)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
(404) 431-2117
Web: www.elliottyouragent.com
Blog – www.elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

Treasury Secretary Confident in Recovery

U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner reassured an audience of businesspeople last week that the troubled commercial real estate sector wouldn’t severely damage the rest of the economy.

“I think the economy can handle it,” Geithner said.

Geithner described the economy in the third quarter as “broad and strong” and concluded, “I think you can say with confidence that the financial system is stable [and that] the economy has stabilized.”

Source: The Wall Street Journal, Doug Cameron (10/30/2009)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
(404) 431-2117
Web: www.elliottyouragent.com
Blog – www.elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

Landlords Cut Commercial Rents

Commercial landlords are struggling to keep tenants and hold onto property in one of the toughest markets in decades.

Nationwide, effective office rents fell 8.5 percent in the third quarter compared with the same period in 2008, according to Reis Inc., and companies reduced office space drastically, vacating 19.6 million square feet, the equivalent of six Empire State Buildings, Reis calculated.

Victor Calanog, director of research at Reis, predicts that this drop in rents likely will spur a pickup in leasing activity over the next 12 months.

Source: The Wall Street Journal, A.D. Pruitt (10/28/2009)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
(404) 431-2117
Web: www.elliottyouragent.com
Blog – www.elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

10 Markets Where Building Is Booming

The building business—both commercial and residential—is a seeing a recovery in some markets, especially those where military, government, and energy jobs are driving demand.

Lake Charles, La., which leads the nation, is an anomaly—it’s recovering from hurricanes—but the other markets are largely driving by economic growth. For instance, building permits for apartments in Huntsville, Ala., near the expanding U.S. Space & Rocket Center, have jumped 400 percent so far in 2009.

Many of the contracts are going to smaller local builders, but some of the giants are getting back in the game as well. KB Home resumed construction in the Mid-Atlantic, including Washington D.C., after pulling back earlier this year.

The top 10 growth markets, based on building permits, are:

1. Lake Charles, La., 122.5 percent
2. Beaumont-Port Arthur, Texas, 65.8 percent
3. Salt Lake City, 36.6 percent
4. Huntsville, Ala., 30 percent
5. Jacksonville, N.C., 28.6 percent
6. Augusta-Richmond County, Ga.-S.C., 21.6 percent
7. Fayetteville, N.C., 12.2 percent
8. Las Cruces, N.M., 11.6 percent
9. Auburn-Opelika, Ala., 11.3 percent
10. Little Rock-North Little Rock, Ark., 7.7 percent

Source: BusinessWeek, Prashant Gopal (09/18/2009)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
o- (404) 564-5560
Blog – http://elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

Credit Market Makes Economists Nervous

Interest rates are low and home prices are down, but banks continue to be stingy with loans.

At the height of the housing boom, seven out of 10 mortgages were approved. At the end of 2008, only five out of 10 got the green light. During the boom years, homebuyers could qualify for the cheapest rates with a credit score of 660. Today, they need 740 or better.

“Banks are going to be in a defensive posture for several years. Most borrowers can’t meet their criteria,” says Christopher Whalen, managing director at research firm Institutional Risk Analytics.

Consumers cut back borrowing by $21.6 billion from June to July, the biggest drop since the Federal Reserve began keeping records in 1943. That made some analysts nervous.

The reduction in borrowing could slow the economic recovery, says David Olson, president of Access Mortgage Research & Consulting.

“If they cut back, it would be catastrophic,” Olson says. “We could have a second downturn.”

Source: The Associated Press, Stevenson Jacobs (09/17/2009)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
o- (404) 564-5560
Blog – http://elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

Investors Wait for Commercial Opportunity

Investors looking to buy commercial properties on the cheap as the economy slams the commercial real estate industry have been disappointed so far.

Property values have declined on paper, but would-be buyers haven’t been able to walk off with offices, shopping centers, hotels, and warehouses at fire-sale prices, and very few properties are changing hands.

“Investors seem surprised at the lack of quality buying opportunities given the problems in the financial markets and the continued weakening of the industry’s fundamentals,” says Susan Smith, director of the real estate advisory practice at PricewaterhouseCoopers.

Investors are expected to keep waiting because many properties purchased during 2006 and 2007 are over-leveraged and lenders will eventually be forced to foreclose and sell them at a discount.

Source: Los Angeles Times, Roger Vincent (09/15/09)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
o- (404) 564-5560
Blog – http://elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

IRS Changes Rules to Ease Commercial Refis

The U.S. Internal Revenue Service announced changes to tax rules Tuesday that make it easier for commercial property owners to refinance.

The new guidelines allow commercial loans that are part of investment pools known as Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits, or REMICs, to be refinanced without penalties for investors.

The new regulations allow investors to keep tax savings that they would have lost under the old rules. The IRS is considering expanding the changes to other investment vehicles like real estate investment trusts (REITs).

“A stalemate now exists on commercial mortgage backed security (CMBS) loans that are not currently in default but need modification,” said Jeffrey DeBoer, chief executive of the Real Estate Roundtable, a lobbying body for property owners and investors. “Today’s announcement should help break the stalemate.”

Sources: The Associated Press, Stephen Ohlemacher (09/15/2009) and The Wall Street Journal, Lingling Wei (09/16/2009)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
o- (404) 564-5560
Blog – http://elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

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