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Shadow Inventory Unlikely to Hurt Market

Nearly 5 million houses and condos, of which the mortgages are delinquent, will go through foreclosure over the next few years, a new study by John Burns Real Estate Consulting Inc. concludes.

This represents more than half of the 7.7 million households now behind on their mortgage payments. The situation is worst in Arizona, California, Florida, and Nevada. Burns calculates that there is an inventory equivalent to 27 months of sales in Orlando, 24 months in Miami, and 18 months in Las Vegas.

Consulting firm CEO John Burns says there is strong investor demand for these properties, so as long as employment continues to recover and interest rates remain moderate, these sales won’t have much impact on overall prices.

Source: The Wall Street Journal, James R. Hagerty (02/16/2010)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
(404) 431-2117
Web: www.elliottyouragent.com
Blog – www.elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

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Luxury Homes in Foreclosure Go to Auction

An increasing number of homes with multi-million dollar price tags are going into foreclosure and that’s driving desperate owners to sell at auction.

In 2009, 18,817 properties worth at least $1 million faced foreclosure. That’s up 162 percent from 2008, reported foreclosure marketer RealtyTrac.

Prices of $1 million-plus properties are down about 25 percent since 2007 with an increasing number of desperate home owners choosing auction sales over waiting for years for the right buyer to come along.

“Any home owner selling in this economy is on the market because they have to be,” says John Brian Losh, CEO of LuxuryRealEstate.com, a Web site that specializes in high-end properties. “If they’re frustrated and they can’t figure out why they haven’t gotten any offers, they might think an auction will generate some interest.”

Source: Forbes, Francesca Levy (02/11/2010)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
(404) 431-2117
Web: www.elliottyouragent.com
Blog – www.elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

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Foreclosure Prevention Has Aided 116,000

The federal foreclosure prevention program has helped about 12 percent of borrowers who applied for help since the plans were announced a year ago, the Treasury Department says.

About 1 million borrowers initiated the application process, and as of January, about 116,000 home owners–12 percent–had their loans modified. But administration officials say another 76,000 applications have been approved and are awaiting signatures.

Another 830,500 home owners are currently in a trial modification review period during which banks make sure payments are feasible for the borrower and ensure the qualifications of the assistance program are met.

For those who qualify, the Home Affordable Modification Program brings monthly loan payments down to 31 percent of home owners’ pre-tax income.

Nearly 60,500 people have been denied permanent modifications.

Source: CNNMoney, Tami Luhby (02/17/2010) and USA TODAY, Stephanie Armour (02/17/2010)

———————————————————
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
(404) 431-2117
Web: www.elliottyouragent.com
Blog – www.elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

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Commercial Loans Jeopardize Banks

The Congressional Oversight Panel reported Wednesday that commercial real estate loan failures could jeopardize bank stability.

The panel said most of the bad loans were made at the height of the real estate bubble and are concentrated at smaller banks, which make 40 percent of all small business loans.

“We haven’t seen the worst of the problems yet in terms of loan defaults. This is a large issue for a major portion of the banks out there,” said Matthew Anderson, a partner at research firm Foresight Analytics, which provided data for the report.

Source: MarketWatch, Josh Lipton (02/17/2010)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
(404) 431-2117
Web: www.elliottyouragent.com
Blog – www.elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

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Mortgage Fraud Keeping FBI Busy

The Federal Bureau of Investigation has more than 2,600 open cases of mortgage fraud, FBI Director Robert Mueller told Congress on Wednesday. Most of the cases involve losses of more than $1 million.

More than 300 special agents are assigned to mortgage fraud, which is up more than 200 percent from what it was three years ago, according to the FBI.

“The schemes have evolved with the changing economy, targeting vulnerable individuals, victimizing them even as they are about to lose their homes,” Mueller said in prepared remarks to the Senate Judiciary Committee.

Source: Reuters News (09/16/2009)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
o- (404) 564-5560
Blog – http://elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

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How to Spot Foreclosure-Prevention Scammers

Here’s how the most common foreclosure-prevention scams work:

The desperate home owner gets a letter that says something like, “We know you’re having a hard time. We have a pipeline to your lender and can help you save your home. Call this toll-free number now.”

Home owners call the number and agree to pay $1,200 to $1,500 upfront for help with their mortgage. Nothing happens. Their home still goes into foreclosure.

Harold Kirtz, a lawyer for the Federal Trade Commission who is prosecuting these scammers, says victims are often well educated and financially savvy, but they also are “in a very vulnerable state.”

Here are some red flags that should make a home owner run in the opposite direction:

* If the company guarantees success. Nobody can guarantee a lender won’t foreclose or will modify a loan.
* If the company wants money upfront. “We can’t say all advance fees are illegal,” Kirtz says, “But in most cases they’re probably bogus.”
* If the company wants the home owner to send mortgage checks directly to the modification firm. The only certainty there is that the company will cash the checks.

Source: Washington Post Writers Group, Kenneth R. Harney (09/13/2009)

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Keller Williams Realty Metro Atlanta
315 West Ponce de Leon Ave., Ste. 100
Decatur, GA 30030
o- (404) 564-5560
Blog – http://elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter – http://twitter.com/elliottrob

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Vacancies Still Strain Commercial Properties

Commercial real estate is feeling the pain as retailers cut back on rental space in light of unemployment and a weak economy.

Just this week, Maguire Properties Inc., which owns office buildings in Southern California, walked away from seven of its properties because it couldn’t pay the mortgages and may abandon others, according to rating agency Realpoint.

“The bottom line: defaults are exploding,” said Richard Parkus, an analyst with Deutsche Bank. “It’s terrible. It’s going to be worse than in the early ’90s.”

Source: The Associated Press, Alex Veiga

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222 ext. 26
Blog: elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter: elliottrob@twitter.com

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U.S. Will Extend Lending Program

The Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department have agreed to extend the Term Asset-Backed Loan Facility (TALF), which frees up loans to build apartment communities, office complexes, and other income-generating properties.

The move comes even though the program has yet to make significant progress in resuscitating the ailing commercial property market–due to its relatively small size.

White House officials have no plans to pad the program with more federal resources, even as rising vacancies and declining rents leave building owners vulnerable to default. Some observers fret that a new wave of defaults is on the horizon, with $814 billion in commercial real estate loans on pace to mature between now and 2011.

Source: Washington Post, Annys Shin and David Cho

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Hotels in Default on the Rise

An increasing number of owners of hotels are walking away from their properties and turning the keys over to the bank.

More than 1,000 non-casino hotel properties and 31 casino hotels are in default with a total loan value of more than $25 billion, according to research firm Real Capital Analytics.

Unlike other commercial real estate with long-term leases, guests can abandon a hotel overnight, leaving the management with little or no cash flow.

Many of the hotels in default are publicly traded. “Pricing for hotels really got out of control in 2005 to 2008 and the public companies were aggressive in buying assets, so they piled on a lot of mortgage debt,” says David Loeb, a lodging analyst with Robert W. Baird & Co.

Source: The Wall Street Journal, Kris Hudson

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222 ext. 26
Blog: elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter: elliottrob@twitter.com