Home Sales

Troubled Jumbo Loans Hurt Broader Market

Houses that cost more than $730,000 – the cap for conforming jumbo loans – can be extremely tough to buy, sell, or refinance these days, freezing the high-end market and holding down activity in lower-priced markets, real estate practitioners say.

The slowdown results from lenders’ reluctance to offer mortgages above the amount Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will insure.

“What you’re seeing are those properties sitting on the market for a lot longer because people can’t get loans,” says David Kerr, an associate with ZipRealty in Marin County, Calif. ” All of what we’re showing is in the $200,000 to $300,000 price range.”

States that are most affected are those where jumbos account for more than 10 percent of all mortgages, including Hawaii, California and New York, as well as Washington, D.C., New Jersey, Maryland, Massachusetts, Virginia, Connecticut, Washington, Nevada, and Florida.

The Obama administration program to refinance underwater mortgages doesn’t offer help to holders of jumbo mortgages, so borrowers who can’t refinance are defaulting in increasing numbers. According to First American CoreLogic, jumbos that are 90 days or more delinquent reached 4.83 percent in March 2009, up from 1.68 percent in March 2008.

“We need to have a market recovery in all segments,” says Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of REALTORS®. “If the high-end market weakens, those in the middle have to reduce prices . . . All of Middle America is undoubtedly impacted.”

Source: USAToday, Stephanie Armour (07/15/2009)
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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222 ext. 26
Blog: elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter: elliottrob@twitter.com

Home Sales

Unemployed Might Get Anti-Foreclosure Help

The Obama administration is reportedly considering a program that would give loan forbearance to the unemployed. The aim of the program is to provide help without distorting the housing market.

The program would augment the federal loan modification program, giving unemployed workers more time and financial leeway to qualify for a new loan.

So far the loan modification program hasn’t been very successful for a variety of reasons, including the declining equity many troubled borrowers have in their homes and rising unemployment figures that make lenders unwilling to participate.

Last week, the U.S. Treasury Department asked the 25 largest mortgage service companies to appoint a liaison officer to work with the government to slow defaults. On July 28, Treasury will host a meeting with these servicers to examine whether qualified applicants are being ignored.

Source: Reuters News, Patrick Rucker and David Lawder (07/13/2009)

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222 ext. 26
Blog: elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter: elliottrob@twitter.com

Home Sales

Artificial Turf Wins Over More Fans

More home owners who are sick and tired of mowing the grass are trading their natural turf for artificial.

The artificial turf industry has grown an estimated 20 percent annually for the last five years, according to figures from the Association of Synthetic Grass Installers trade group

Commonly used fibers for artificial turf include polyethylene and polypropylene with granulated tire rubber as an infill. Granulated quartz is an alternative.

A lawsuit in California alleges that synthetic turf has high levels of lead. Darren Brandt, a spokesman for manufacturer FieldTurf, says the product has been proven safe in several studies.

Annie Costa, executive director of the grass installers trade group, says artificial turf will win favor because it is cost effective – about $9 to $12 a square yard, guaranteed for eight years.

Source: The San Diego Union-Tribune, Emmet Piercce (06/28/2009)

Source: Chicago Tribune, Don Lee (07/06/2009)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222

Home Sales

Loan Applications Rise as Rates Fall Again

Loan applications continued to increase last week as mortgage rates decreased, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association weekly mortgage applications survey.

The market index rose 4.3 percent to 514.4 last week from 493.1 the previous week on a seasonally adjusted basis. On an unadjusted basis, the index increased 15.3 percent compared with the previous week and was down 2.7 percent compared with the same week a year ago.

The refinance index was up 17.7 percent while the purchase index decreased 9.4 percent compared to the previous week. More than half of applications were for refinances.

* 30-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to 5.05 percent from 5.34 percent;
* 15-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to 4.59 percent from 4.83 percent;
* 1-year ARMs decreased to 6.47 percent from 6.58 percent.

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association (07/15/2009)

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222 ext. 26
Blog: elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter: elliottrob@twitter.com

Home Sales

Single-Family Home Prices Rise in May

Nationwide, detached, single-family home prices gained 1.6 percent in May, according to Integrated Asset Services, a specialist in default management and residential collateral valuations.

The increase is the largest since July 2005, IAS reported. The index had previously declined more than 19 percent from its peak in June 2007.

Compared to April, the Northeast was up 3.2 percent, the Midwest 1.9 percent, the South 1.1 percent, and the West 0.9 percent.

In all areas but the South, prices also rose in April.

“Two month’s worth of positive data hardly signals a turn in the national housing market,” says Dave McCarthy, President and CEO of Integrated Asset Services. “But we have to be encouraged by what we’re seeing in several important counties and neighborhoods.”

Hardest-Hit Counties

IAS also tracks monthly changes in median sale prices in 15,000 struggling communities. It identifies the following counties where prices have fallen furthest since the 2006 peak:

1. Fresno, Calif. -28.1 percent
2. Imperial Calif. -45.2 percent
3. Kern, Calif. -33.8 percent
4. Monterey, Calif. -37.9 percent
5. San Bernardino, Calif. -29.1 percent
6. San Joaquin, Calif. -42.8 percent
7. Charlotte, Fla. -37.6 percent
8. Hernando, Fla. -38.7 percent
9. Lee, Fla. -45.2 percent
10. Pasco, Fla. -50 percent

Source: Integrated Asset Services (07/09/2009)

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222 ext. 26
Blog: elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter: elliottrob@twitter.com

Home Sales

Prices Slide in Wealthiest Towns

America’s high-end neighborhoods could feel the pain as homes linger on the market and prices slide.

There are more than 60,000 homes priced above $1 million listed on Realtor.com with the inventory at levels far above the national average of 10 months.

Some observers predict that big inventories in formerly protected enclaves will drive down prices as much as average prices fell in less-pricey metros a year ago. “Any [inventory] over seven months generally means falling prices,” says David Stiff, chief economist at Fiserv in Brookfield, Wis.

Multi-million dollar communities with significant risk of taking big slides are:

1. Incline Village-Crystal Bay, Nev.
2. New Vernon, N.J.
3. Alpine, N.J.
4. Sagaponack, N.Y.
5. Amagansett, N.Y.
6. Bridgehampton, N.Y.
7. Ross, Calif.
8. Old Westbury, N.Y.
9. Santa Barbara, Calif.
10. Southampton, N.Y.

Source: Forbes, Stephanie Fitch and Matthew Woolsey (07/13/2009)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222

Home Sales

City of Decatur – Fewer Listings Equal Pent-Up Demand

In the first part of our study on the City of Decatur, we did an analysis of the 1st six months of 2007, 2008 and 2009. The analysis confirmed what most people have felt which is that sales of single family homes in Decatur are down considerably over the past two year (down 53% from 2007).

There are several mitigating factors in this trend.  The biggest of which is perhaps the apprehension of potential sellers to place their property on the market during a time of economic malaise.  At the end of 2008 and early 2009, there was an over-saturation of negative media stories creating the false impression that every seller must be on the verge of bankruptucy so throw them any old offer because they’ll ahve to accept.  This birthed a buyer pool that had a “Deal or No Deal” mentality.  The notion of potential buyers bringing in parades of lowball offers simply placed potential sellers on the sidelines.

The positive impact of this posture is that there is a pent up demand in the buyer pool for high quality single-family homes.  The City of Decatur and other highly desirable locales within the Atlanta Metro Area (Candler Park, Inman Park, Ansley Park, Druid Hills, etc.) still have the intangibles that serious buyers look for: great schools, proximity to Downtown/Midtown, family activities, great restaurants, etc. 

Obviously the rules for obtaining financing have changed the housing marketplace considerably.  However, certain neighborhoods are somewhat less susceptible to the increased restrictions due to the professional make-up and income profile of the residents.

With the start of school less than 1 month away (August 10th), this would be a great time for sellers who have held back to test the marketplace.

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222 ext. 26
Blog: elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter: elliottrob@twitter.com

Home Sales

City of Decatur – Single Family Intown Market Study

City of Decatur – Single Family Homes

This month we will compare the sales activity for the 1st six months of 2007 to 2008 to 2009.  Prior to pulling the data, there was an industry consensus that closing activity has been down.  However, there was some feeling that once the home buying season kicked into gear, things would certainly pick up.  To date, that has not been the case as sellers who do not need to sell appear to be sitting out 2009 in the hopes of a more stable and promising 2010.

I’ll start with an analysis of the City of Decatur (COD) as a whole and in later posts, I’ll break down some of the individual neighborhoods in search of trends.

2007

Through the first 6 months of 2007, the COD Single Family Market was experiencing an explosion.  There were 145 single family home sales in the first half of ‘07 for an average sales price of $379,646.

A sizable thrust of the growth was spurred on by significant new construction activity in Oakhurst.  There was an appetite for newer homes in general, with 31 of the homes sold being built after 1995 (21% of total sales).  Sycamore Ridge (Decatur Heights) and Glenlake Commons comprised the majority of resales for homes built after 1995.  The average sales price of those newer homes  was $477,093.   City of Decatur sales of property built before 1995 was $354,972.  Newer construction realized an average sale price in excess of $120,000 over the COD’s older housing stock.

The Days on Market was almost identical at 60 for older homes and 63 for newer properties.

2008

The first half of 2008 saw a 20% decrease in total sales (to 117 from 145).  The average sales prices saw a 3% decline from $379,646 to $368,778.

Newer home sales were still strong at just under 20% of total sales (23 sold).  And the activity in this area saw most of its transactions come from Oakhurst new construction and Sycamore Ridge resales.  The 2008 average sales price for a home built after 1995 was $516,260.

The Days on the Market inched up slightly for both total sales (71) and newer home sales (79).

2009

The COD market activity has declined dramatically in the first half of 2009.  The total number of home sales has plummeted to 69, down 42% from 2008 and 53% from 2007.  On a positive note, despite the slowed activity, the average sales price has increased to $391,504 eclipsing the average of 2007 by over $12,000.  A great sign that despite the slowdown, the COD remains a highly desirable market for homebuyers.

Given the strong new construction growth over the past 5 years, it was bound to slow down.  A great deal of the more desirable lots have been converted and new construction financing has become more tenuous for in-town builders.  There have only been 12 sales of homes build post 1995, with Oakhurst still leading the charge.  Surprisingly, Sycamore Ridge has only accounted for 2 sales in the first six months of 2009.

Another sign of a strong COD market is that Days on Market has dropped back down to 63 days.  A 6 day decrease from its 2008 figure of 71.   However, perhaps due to the shift in the market and somewhat skewed due to a few homes being delayed in construction, the newer home Days on Market increased to 120 days.

* Data provided by First Multiple Listing Service.

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222 ext. 26
Blog: elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter: elliottrob@twitter.com

Home Sales

Mortgage Applications Up Despite Holiday

Demand for mortgages returned last week after two consecutive down weeks, pushing the index up 10.9 percent to 493.1 from 444.8 the previous week on a seasonally adjusted basis that reflected the July 4 holiday.

On an unadjusted basis, the index decreased 0.5 percent compared with the previous week, but rose 7.2 percent compared with the same week a year ago.

The refinance index increased 15.2 percent, while the purchase index rose 6.7 percent.

Mortgage rates were mostly unchanged from the previous week. 30-year fixed-rate mortgages were flat compared to the previous week at 5.34 percent;15-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 4.83 percent from 4.81 percent; and 1-year ARMs increased to 6.58 percent from 6.52 percent.

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association (07/08/2009)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222

Home Sales

New Programs Target Low-Income Buyers

Under the federal Neighborhood Stabilization Program, many new state and local initiatives are expected to roll out in the next few weeks that will help middle- and low-income families buy foreclosed homes in hard-hit neighborhoods.

In all, about $5 billion is available, including $50 million in technical assistance to get the programs up and running. Regulations limit participation to households earning no more than 120 percent of the median income with 25 percent of the money going to families earning less than half the median.

The funds must be used for primary residences in communities with the highest incidences of foreclosures and subprime loans. There also will be a lease-to-own program.

The Neighborhood Stabilization Program was authorized last summer, but it has been rolling out slowly because the volume of paperwork involved has stymied communities.

Source: CNNMoney.com, Les Christie (06/24/2009)

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Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222

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