Sellers

Another Rash of Foreclosures Coming Soon?

Some economic observers are predicting another wave of foreclosures later this summer or in the fall. That’s because lenders that have held off on foreclosures as part of President Obama’s plan will now move forward aggressively to clear the backlog of troubled mortgages.

Rising foreclosures will further depress home values, says Mark Zandi of Moody’s Economy.com, who calculates that 15.4 million homeowners—one in five of those with first mortgages—will be underwater.

Seth Wheeler, a senior adviser to Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, says the government is “unlikely to implement another moratorium.”

But Wheeler said the government plans to put in place some programs that encourage lenders to try some alternatives to foreclosure.

Source: Chicago Tribune, Don Lee (07/06/2009)

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222

Sellers

City of Decatur – Single Family Intown Market Study

City of Decatur – Single Family Homes

This month we will compare the sales activity for the 1st six months of 2007 to 2008 to 2009.  Prior to pulling the data, there was an industry consensus that closing activity has been down.  However, there was some feeling that once the home buying season kicked into gear, things would certainly pick up.  To date, that has not been the case as sellers who do not need to sell appear to be sitting out 2009 in the hopes of a more stable and promising 2010.

I’ll start with an analysis of the City of Decatur (COD) as a whole and in later posts, I’ll break down some of the individual neighborhoods in search of trends.

2007

Through the first 6 months of 2007, the COD Single Family Market was experiencing an explosion.  There were 145 single family home sales in the first half of ‘07 for an average sales price of $379,646.

A sizable thrust of the growth was spurred on by significant new construction activity in Oakhurst.  There was an appetite for newer homes in general, with 31 of the homes sold being built after 1995 (21% of total sales).  Sycamore Ridge (Decatur Heights) and Glenlake Commons comprised the majority of resales for homes built after 1995.  The average sales price of those newer homes  was $477,093.   City of Decatur sales of property built before 1995 was $354,972.  Newer construction realized an average sale price in excess of $120,000 over the COD’s older housing stock.

The Days on Market was almost identical at 60 for older homes and 63 for newer properties.

2008

The first half of 2008 saw a 20% decrease in total sales (to 117 from 145).  The average sales prices saw a 3% decline from $379,646 to $368,778.

Newer home sales were still strong at just under 20% of total sales (23 sold).  And the activity in this area saw most of its transactions come from Oakhurst new construction and Sycamore Ridge resales.  The 2008 average sales price for a home built after 1995 was $516,260.

The Days on the Market inched up slightly for both total sales (71) and newer home sales (79).

2009

The COD market activity has declined dramatically in the first half of 2009.  The total number of home sales has plummeted to 69, down 42% from 2008 and 53% from 2007.  On a positive note, despite the slowed activity, the average sales price has increased to $391,504 eclipsing the average of 2007 by over $12,000.  A great sign that despite the slowdown, the COD remains a highly desirable market for homebuyers.

Given the strong new construction growth over the past 5 years, it was bound to slow down.  A great deal of the more desirable lots have been converted and new construction financing has become more tenuous for in-town builders.  There have only been 12 sales of homes build post 1995, with Oakhurst still leading the charge.  Surprisingly, Sycamore Ridge has only accounted for 2 sales in the first six months of 2009.

Another sign of a strong COD market is that Days on Market has dropped back down to 63 days.  A 6 day decrease from its 2008 figure of 71.   However, perhaps due to the shift in the market and somewhat skewed due to a few homes being delayed in construction, the newer home Days on Market increased to 120 days.

* Data provided by First Multiple Listing Service.

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222 ext. 26
Blog: elliottonrealestate.com
Twitter: elliottrob@twitter.com

Sellers

Mortgage Applications Up Despite Holiday

Demand for mortgages returned last week after two consecutive down weeks, pushing the index up 10.9 percent to 493.1 from 444.8 the previous week on a seasonally adjusted basis that reflected the July 4 holiday.

On an unadjusted basis, the index decreased 0.5 percent compared with the previous week, but rose 7.2 percent compared with the same week a year ago.

The refinance index increased 15.2 percent, while the purchase index rose 6.7 percent.

Mortgage rates were mostly unchanged from the previous week. 30-year fixed-rate mortgages were flat compared to the previous week at 5.34 percent;15-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 4.83 percent from 4.81 percent; and 1-year ARMs increased to 6.58 percent from 6.52 percent.

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association (07/08/2009)

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222

Sellers

Best Places for Aging Entrepreneurs

Entrepreneurs don’t retire, they just find a new project.

Over the past decade, baby boomers produced a high rate of entrepreneurial activity, and Dan Stangler, senior analyst at the Kauffman Foundation, says the number of baby boomers starting a business in their traditional retirement years is likely to increase.

In response to that analysis, U.S. News & World Report identified 10 places that it says are the best places for an entrepreneurial baby boomer to retire. It picked the areas because they have an affordable cost of living, proximity to healthcare, fun recreational amenities, and access to information, particularly colleges and university with technology-focused departments.

Here are their 10 best suggestions:

1. Arlington, Va.
2. Columbia, Md.
3. Fargo, N.D.
4. Fayetteville, Ark.
5. Fort Collins, Colo.
6. Knoxville, Tenn.
7. Lincoln, Neb.
8. Madison, Wis.
9. Round Rock, Tex.
10. West Des Moines, Iowa

Source: U.S. News & World Report, Emily Brandon (06/29/2009)

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222

Sellers

Home Builders Seek Close-In Properties

Home builders are searching for property to buy, despite owning lots of land in outlying suburbs.

Ivy Zelman, CEO of Zelman & Associates, a housing-research firm, says demand for lots in prime locations is increasing, with builders competing for properties in Phoenix, near Washington, D.C., and in parts of California.

In some cases, the price of available property has declined substantially. In prime Phoenix suburbs, for instance, the average cost of a 6,000- to 7,000-square-foot lot has sunk from $120,000 in 2005 to $35,000 currently.

Rich Samit, chief executive of Fraser Forbes Co., a land broker in McLean, Va., says properties in the “appealing” Washington, D.C., suburbs are being bought by builders who want to reload their inventories in anticipation of better times.

Source: The Wall Street Journal, James R. Hagerty (06/24/2009)

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222

Sellers

Mortgage Applications Bounce Back

Mortgage applications bounced back last week after nearly a month in the doldrums when the number of applications fell to a seven-month low.

The market index compiled by the Mortgage Bankers Association rose 6.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis to 548.2 points from 514.4 points the previous week.

On an unadjusted basis, the index increased 6 percent compared with the previous week and rose 17.2 percent compared with the same week a year ago.

Both purchases and refinances were up with the purchase share increasing 7.3 percent and refinances rising 5.9 percent.

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association (06/24/2009)

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222

Sellers

Fed to Keep Short-Term Rates Low

The Federal Reserve announced Wednesday that it expects to keep short-term interest rates “exceptionally low” for the next few months. It also underscored its commitment to make $1.25 trillion in total purchases of mortgage-backed securities by the end of year.

Both actions are likely to keep mortgage rates low through the end of 2009.

The Fed failed to raise a cap of $300 billion in purchases of Treasury securities, which could lead indirectly to higher mortgage rates because mortgage rates tend to rise in conjunction with Treasurys.

In response to the possibility of rising mortgage rates, the Mortgage Bankers Association this week cut its forecast for total 2009 mortgage originations by 27 percent.

Source: Inman News (06/25/2009)

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222

Sellers

Cities With Most, Least Courteous Drivers

If you do a lot of driving, maybe you’ll identify with this study for AutoAdvantage, which identified the cities with the most and the least courteous drivers.

Drivers responding to the survey identified the two key characteristics of rude drivers as:

* Drivers who overreact and lose their tempers.
* Aggressive drivers who cut into lanes, tailgate, speed and honk.

The five cities with the largest numbers of these miserable drivers are:

1. New York City
2. Dallas/Fort Worth
3. Detroit
4. Atlanta
5. Minneapolis/St. Paul

The survey identified the five most courteous cities as:

1. Portland, Ore.
2. Cleveland
3. Baltimore
4. Sacramento
5. Pittsburgh

Source: AutoAdvantage (06/16/2009)

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222

Sellers

Best Cities for Finding Opportunity

Where are the best cities to live in the United States if you want to work hard and get ahead?

Forbes magazine examined the nation’s 40 largest metropolitan statistical areas and based on the number of Forbes’ 400 best big companies and 200 best small companies that are headquartered in each, it identified what it considered places with the most opportunity.

The magazine says it took this route because the best big companies provide opportunities for those who seek to be employees, and the rate of success of small businesses indicates how the area treats entrepreneurs.

Here are the top 10:

1. Houston
2. Dallas
3. Minneapolis
4. Pittsburgh
5. Boston
6. Washington, D.C.
7. Austin
8. St. Louis
9. Kansas City, Mo.
10. New York

Source: Forbes, Lauren Sherman (06/19/2009)

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222

Sellers

Great Lakes (City of Decatur) – Market Survey June ‘09

This analysis compares residential single family sales activity from June2007-May 2008 to activity from June 2008-May 2009.

Average Sales Price
2% increase from $505,418 in ‘07-’08 to $517,914 in ‘08-’09.

Average Number of Days on the Market
127% increase from 52 days to 118 days.

Number of Homes Sold
13% decrease from 8 in ’07-’08 to 7 in ’08-’09.

Overall Sales Volume
10% decrease from $4,043,344 in ’07-’08 to $3,625,398 in ’08-’09.

Milestone sales within the last 12 months
Most Expensive: A 4 bed/ 3.5 bath on Michigan Ave sold for $800,000. It was on the market for 153 days.

Lowest Price: A 5 bed/ 2.5 bath on Lucerne St. sold for $341,000. It was on the market for 196 days.

——————–
Elliott Robinson, JD – Associate Broker
Adams Realtors
458 Cherokee Ave. SE
Atlanta, GA 30312
(o) 404-688-1222

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